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on Sep 17th 2004, 15:22:51, metheour wrote the following about

forecast

Forecasts and advisories about hurricanes include two major components: movement and intensity.

Paths of hurricanes can now be projected up to five days in advance, although with less certainty than the traditional three-day path forecasts.

In addition to the path that a hurricane or tropical cyclone will take, projections are made concerning where landfall will occur.

The term »landfall« refers to the point where the surface center of a hurricane intersects with the coastline.

Because hurricanes can be massive systems with destructive winds extending for hundreds of miles and storm surges occurring along the coast – as well as tornadoes spawned by the system and flooding caused by heavy rain – more attention should be paid to the watches and warnings for an area rather than to the single point of predicted landfall.


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